Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.593500 0.658666 0.729125 0.811147 0.904233 1.006847 1.128881
2025-08-10 0.492223 0.582395 0.687530 0.819950 0.983383 1.179901 1.436222
2025-08-17 0.422160 0.520605 0.641177 0.801218 1.010325 1.277386 1.649344
2025-08-24 0.383825 0.489575 0.624436 0.811439 1.067836 1.412702 1.921424
2025-08-31 0.348527 0.457091 0.600260 0.806200 1.100368 1.514098 2.155886
2025-09-07 0.322868 0.434022 0.585056 0.809614 1.142578 1.630559 2.424017
2025-09-14 0.296505 0.407106 0.561310 0.797264 1.158781 1.708324 2.640523
2025-09-21 0.275159 0.385164 0.542199 0.788951 1.178740 1.791998 2.875113
2025-09-28 0.250547 0.356408 0.510543 0.758223 1.159772 1.810451 3.000585
2025-10-05 0.241024 0.349084 0.509943 0.775044 1.217721 1.959745 3.373199
2025-10-12 0.231459 0.340849 0.507067 0.787546 1.269110 2.102718 3.753848
2025-10-19 0.221457 0.331133 0.500968 0.793893 1.310066 2.231091 4.124518
2025-10-26 0.211132 0.320401 0.492750 0.796455 1.345520 2.355244 4.510163
2025-11-02 0.202636 0.312030 0.487749 0.804078 1.390861 2.503391 4.970344
2025-11-09 0.190022 0.296092 0.469016 0.785801 1.386011 2.553188 5.225726
2025-11-16 0.183585 0.289932 0.466254 0.795790 1.435563 2.716775 5.762832
2025-11-23 0.175077 0.279730 0.455804 0.790669 1.454866 2.820040 6.176748
2025-11-30 0.168623 0.272613 0.450196 0.794006 1.491123 2.963073 6.711881
2025-12-07 0.160251 0.261682 0.437100 0.781935 1.494482 3.034487 7.079000
2025-12-14 0.153081 0.252456 0.426484 0.773809 1.505202 3.123436 7.508044
2025-12-21 0.143267 0.238032 0.405561 0.743771 1.466279 3.093759 7.610668
2025-12-28 0.140564 0.236206 0.407748 0.760215 1.530085 3.313250 8.452365
2026-01-04 0.137425 0.233400 0.407891 0.772436 1.585658 3.520141 9.302406